Android already surpasses iPhone

[Grieve]

The same OS issues exist on the iphone.

I'm not sure that's true. I remember trying to install apps on my wife's Blackberry, and finding that half of them didn't work, and many that did, didn't work properly. Why? Because there's a zillion different Blackberry devices, all with different capabilities, screen sizes, etc. Android has the same problem. They might all share the same O/S (or versions of it), but (as Riz indicated) how on earth do developers test apps on such a wide variety of devices?

Apple doesn't have that problem, or at least not yet. Sure, there's some minor differences between the original iPhone, the 3G (which I have), the 3GS (which my wife has), and (I'm sure) the new one coming out this year. But we've never run into an app we can't both run, and I haven't yet found an iPhone app that doesn't run on my iPad.

I think Android may be more popular amongst some in the techie crowd (not that I'm not a member of that crowd myself), but for the average user who just wants something that works easily, the iPhone will stay more popular. I think they will both take market share from Blackberry, but Apple will win. Just like the iPod won against a zillion clones, some of which you could argue were "technically" better.