So let me get this straight

[Hoofhurr]

The problem with climate change is that temperature change is a lagging indicator and global temperature change is even harder to pin down on short time scales because of regional variations in temperature. Much like the economy where at best economists are guessing whether or not we've just been in a recession or are climbing out of a recession we can't conclusively say much until after the fact. The best you can do is examine the trend and attempt to project those trends into the future. It's a matter of probabilities and most of the science still points to a high probability that the globe is warming even as the earth may have equilibrium oscillations that might mask the larger trends.