03-08-2012, 01:15 PM
With smart phones, at least in the US, I suspect it will stay pretty much on the two year cycle. When people are up for a new subsidized phone, they'll get one. Some people will hold off, but other people (fanboys/early adopters) will get the latest model every year because they just can't wait, so it will balance out.
Tablets are a bit trickier, because there is no subsidy (unless maybe you're getting a 3G or 4G plan). I think the cycle will be less than laptops or desktops (because tablets are cheaper and, right now, "cooler"), but more than cell phones. Maybe every 3 years.
The important thing right now is that there are still a huge number of people worldwide that don't have a tablet OR a smart phone, so growth can be huge even without upgraders. And yeah, I think a lot of iPad 1 (or Android!!) tablet owners will upgrade to either the cheaper iPad 2 or the iPad 3. You know you want to, Slamz, Maul and Jake.
There will definitely be iPad 3-only apps, or just apps (like iPhoto or iMovie, or games) that are way better with the higher res and faster processor.
Tablets are a bit trickier, because there is no subsidy (unless maybe you're getting a 3G or 4G plan). I think the cycle will be less than laptops or desktops (because tablets are cheaper and, right now, "cooler"), but more than cell phones. Maybe every 3 years.
The important thing right now is that there are still a huge number of people worldwide that don't have a tablet OR a smart phone, so growth can be huge even without upgraders. And yeah, I think a lot of iPad 1 (or Android!!) tablet owners will upgrade to either the cheaper iPad 2 or the iPad 3. You know you want to, Slamz, Maul and Jake.
There will definitely be iPad 3-only apps, or just apps (like iPhoto or iMovie, or games) that are way better with the higher res and faster processor.
Ex SWG, L2, CoH, Wow, and War
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